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Analysts' Meet held on MARCH 9, 2000
BUSINESS DISCUSSION | QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS | DISCUSSION WITH COMPANY OFFICIALS | BUSINESS PORTAL LAUNCH
BUSINESS
DISCUSSION
PRESENTATION
MADE BY MR. RAGHAV BAHL (CEO) :-
- The co. has emerged
as one of high quality TV programs contents developer.
- Though the co.
is not directly into broadcasting, nevertheless it carries all risks
and opportunities that a broadcaster normally has.
- Will soon launch
vortal (vertical portal for stocks related business and news)
- Is of the opinion
that there is larger programs compatibility between TV and Radio.
- The co. has moved
with new technology and trends by successfully upgrading itself from
TV software maker to own TV channel for business news broadcasting to
launching of business portal.
- Has great plans
for internet space.
- The co. is also
into cable distribution (through Sony and in cable).
- CNBC India is
a paid channel and hence gets cable subscriptions.
- It is the First
Media Co. to offer ESOP 21/2 years back.
- Overall 10%
of equity (Rs. 11 crores) has been reserved under ESOP will not require
to further dilute equity so as to offer ESOP.
- Already 31 employees
have been covered under ESOP (180,000 shares issued).
- The central government
has to come out with more clear guidelines as to ESOP taxation. Then
only the co. will re-fashion its ESOP schemes, options, bonus etc.
- Presently employees
trust holds 10% of paid up capital of the co.
- Promoters holding
in the co. is low at 26% primarily because they being first generation
technocrates with no financial backing from any industrial house.
- Industrialist
such as in case of plus channel that has backing of Kilachand. Hence
promoters had to dilute their stake in order to grow.
- Does TV programming
for ZEE, STAR, SONY MTV and now for Shri Adhikari Brothers. IPR in respect
of such programs belongs to the respective channel.
- But in return
we get stable risk free revenue stream with strong cash flows. Margins
in this case are 25 - 40%. Over the years such an arrangement has
resulted in strong relationship. Though no assets are created, nevertheless
it provides revenues and measures to grow.
- But now the
co. is working in the direction of co-producing contents of such programs
in association of aforesaid channels and hence co-owing of IPR of
these programs.
- 49% stake held
by the co. in CNBC India (balance 51% being held by CNBC Asia) has
improved visibility of the co. besides providing greater financial
strength and stability. Therefore lots of intangible advantages to
continue to accrue to TV 18.
- TV 18s balance
sheet adequately reflects losses presently incurred by CNBC India.
- TV 18 and CNBC
India have been continuously working to extensively bring forth into
focus subjects that have business implications.
- Example - it
is going to give detailed coverage and analysis and more particularly
from trade and industry angle of scheduled visit of the US President
Bill Clinton to India.
- Besides CNBC
India also broadcasts leisure driven programs on Saturdays and Sundays
such as golf show.
- Indian program
contents on CNBC India on weekdays has been successfully toned up from
2 hours \ day to present 8 hours \ day. This will be further raised
to 12 hours \ day in near future.
- Present strength
of 300 decoders (mainly installed in Mumbai) will be raised to 3,000
in the next quarter to cover other cities also.
- TV 18 enjoys IR
in respect of business news and analysis. Except for 4 TV \ News broadcasting
channels CNN, BBC, STAR and Bloomberg, the co. is free to broadcast
its news contents on other non competing channels that are mainly regional
in nature.
- While CNBC India
owns India programs, contents not broadcasted belongs to TV 18.
EXAMPLE
- Say a particular
program has coverage of 30 minutes out which 10 minutes worth program
has been broadcasted and balance 20 minutes not. The position will
be as under
- 10 minutes of
India program will belong to CNBC India
- 20 minutes of
program will add to TV 18s library.
- Internet usage
of news will be a great asset.
ARRANGEMENT
WITH SONY ENTERTAINMENT TV
- Sony is one of
successful channels with very large distribution and hence reach. (Revenue
about Rs. 400 - 500 crores)
- It has been appointed
as cable distributor and ad sale agent for TV 18.
- Sony will not
compete as news channel. Hence no conflict of interest.
- Association with
Sony will be of immense help particularly when the co. is planning to
raise its decoders strength from the present 300 to 3,000 in the next
quarter April - June 2000.
- Also this will
result in an improved bill collection ability to Rs. 20,000
25,000 \ month for 3,000 decoders.
- In first 6 months
revenue will be 80% over what the co. had planned to get in the first
year.
- There is minimum
guaranteed revenue. TV 18 will continue to be content hub.
EQUITY
PARTICIPATION BY SONY
- Sony is interested
in taking up stake in CNBC India.
- Even we are
also interested in offering stake to Sony and welcome them as partner
in CNBC India but preferably after 1 year period if relationship with
them goes on smoothly.
- It is heartening
to note that TV 18s recently launched "bazaar show"
on stock market has made lots of women (women day traders) to take interest
in it.
- Lots of corporate
and market news get break on CNBC India than in press, on reuters, any
other TV channel etc.
- TV commissioned
programs are risk free. The co. shares revenues with CNBC India only
in respect of news programs.
- The whole issue
in broadcasting primarily dwells around quality of content. This can
be briefly summed up as under
- Total AD featuring
on CNBC India is 8 minutes \ hour. Out of this TV 18 sells 4 minutes
\ hour (50%). CNBC Asia markets balance 50% of AD inventory.
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QUESTIONS
AND ANSWERS
- Results for Q1
99\2000 (year-end September 1999) has not been published since want
to publish US gap adjusted results.
- Working for 99\2000
will be in line with projections. Will in fact better projections. (Revenue
Rs. 30 crores. Net profit Rs. 11 crores. EPS Rs. 10)
JV
WITH CNBC ASIA
- 4 years is lock
in period for JV. CNBC Asia cant withdraw at all.
- After four years
the only reason for CNBC Asia to pull out of JV will be only if it decides
to move out doing business in the Asian continent itself. Then only
it can walk out of the JV.
- Even after CNBC
Asia withdraws it will make the best of efforts to provide CNBC brand
for rest of the world.
- But in practical
life both are exclusive for each other. In that perspective the life
of the JV is like in perpetuity.
- The co. has decided
to prepare accounts based on US gap as it has ambitious projects under
planning in which case the US gap becomes pre-requisite.
- Even listing
on NASDAQ is not ruled out. But this may not take effect immediately.
- Raghav Bahl will
go off air slowly in order concentrate on strategic planning etc. The
co. is in fact planning to induct new talent to conduct TV shows.
- CNBC India is
no. 1 business news channel. In fact others are trying to copy US.
- In portal business
there is lots of competition. What we intend to do is to successfully
leverage our existing TV programs contents on web \ portal.
- It will be like
successfully transforming financial daily newspaper say economic times
(looked upon as brick) to portal. The portal will enable us in converting
off- line TV into on-line medium. In addition to lots of database,
the portal will be offering much of value added content and personalised
and customised services.
AD
REVENUE ON CNBC INDIA
- Between December
1999 and February 2000 ad rate has almost doubled up.
- Whereas no. of
advertisers has not increased that of bookings has increased.
- Rate is expected
to further increase once additional decoders as planned are in place.
SUBSCRIPTION
- Cable operators
dont pass on full subscription collection. They reach large no.
of households but declare less.
- With nearly
3,000 decoders in place expects to reach 14-15 mln. households covering
almost 75% of investment community.
- In line with
present industry standard only 10-15% of actual no. of households
are declared by cable operators.
- Presently has
1 mln. paying households. Alliance with Sony is expected to almost
double this within a year.
- Subscription
leakage is gradually reducing with cable operators. This has come
down from 100% to 90% to presently 85%. In other words there is 50%
increase from 10% to 15%.
REVENUE
MODEL OF THE PORTAL
- THREE REVENUE
DRIVING AREAS ARE :
- AD REVENUE
- SUBSCRIPTION
REVENUE
- TRANSACTION
REVENUE FROM CUSTOMISED AND PERSONALISED SPECIAL SERVICES INCLUDING
BROKING.
- In short term
focussing at subscription based revenue model for the portal.
- Presently there
isnt major scope for transaction based revenue model due to competition.
- CNBC Asia is not
investor in the portal. It will not be named after CNBC. TV 18 will
provide content.
- DD gives IPR to
TV 18. But in that case rates are quite low. In order own IPR we have
to first invest in programs and then air it.
- This will be
risky affair also since success of a program depends on its popularity.
STAKE
TAKE UP BY SONY
- This will be 20%
in CNBC India.
- Will be parted
by TV 18 which in turn will get cash. CNBC Asia doesnt want dilute
its 51% stake in CNBC India.
- After the said
arrangement, TV 18 with 29% stake in CNBC India will continue to be
content provider.
- International
rights for CNBC India programs are not with CNBC on any of its sites.
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DISCUSSION
WITH COMPANY OFFICIALS
- It will overshoot
projected revenue of Rs. 30 crores for 99\2000. Even profitability will
also be better.
- The co. is changing
auditors to Deloitte Haskins. Will also adopt US gap.
- Time frame to
reach Rs. 100 crores subscription revenue pursuant to arrangement with
Sony.
- This cant
really be fine-tuned at this moment as a lot depends on cable operators.
Still going by present trend one can estimate this at about 2.5 - 3
years. Nevertheless it must be mentioned that things can change in short
term also if compliance by cable operators improves.
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BUSINESS
PORTAL LAUNCH
- This will be launched
very shortly. It will be a vertical portal for business comments.
- Its not
going to be plain vanilla stuff giving corporate, economy etc. database.
As published by CMIE and others.
- It is aimed at
making Internet business news station with CNBC India programs on PC.
This is so because generally at office one rarely watches TV.
- Apart from the
Indian business and investing community the portal is also aimed at
covering NRIS and investment analysts who sitting abroad can get on-line
live analysis on net.
- It will provide
real and virtual contents that is of timely relevance.
- The portal will
have staggered subscription scheme.
- It will offer
high level of customisation \ personalisation through e-mail alerts
on user defined criterias. It will also give company research reports,
price movement
- Tracking, price
tickers etc.
- It will be web
enabled to chase you on e-mail.
- Activities related
with the portal will be undertaken through separate 100% subsidiary
of TV 18.
- About Rs. 30
- 40 crores will have to be spent on brand building.
- Initially expects
revenue of Rs. 3 - 5 crores from the portal business.
- Presently KPMG
is doing valuation of this portal. The subsidiary plans to go for venture
capital funding in next quarter to finance cost of brand and contents
building of the portal.
- Will buy a small
portion of the portals equity.
- Substantially
large number of Indians watch TV in general and CNBC India in particular.
That community will be driven to look to the portal through specialised
events such as availability of infosys results (on-line) on 11-4-2000
(the day of declaration of results) and also Mr. Narayanmurthy will
be available on our portal for chat.
- The portal is
expected to add value to TV content that has passive viewership.
VENTURE
INTO RADIO BROADCASTING
- FM Radio bandwidth
is opening up for private participation in India.
- TV 18 will be
50% partner in Vertex Corporation, a co. promoted by Dabur that has
applied for FM Radio Licensees.
- The present
ratio of 50:50 can change to 40:40:20 if the present talks with UK
based strategic partner for taking up 20% stake in vertex can go through.
- Program development
efforts of TV 18 can be conveniently streamlined to even generate contents
for fm radio broadcasting.
- Relatively low
cost is involved as same star who is on TV can do something exciting
for radio (voice) media.
- Since business
model is still being worked out the same will be announced in March
\ April 2000.
- Vertex is not
bidding very high for FM licensees.
- Radio programs
developed for a particular license area keeping specific community in
centre can also be advantageously used for broadcasting in other licensed
areas serving that community residing in such other areas.
- Results for March
31, 2000 will be US gap adjusted.
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